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in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been running about four-point. if you look at
, in fact, at best a few points better than wind mccain ran in 2008 and he is doing no better at all among white college graduates. that is one reason why the state is at this point looking pretty favorable toward barack obama. he could carry it by as much as he did in 2008. and also, if you look at it geographically obama is doing very well in the columbus area, which is kind of the slim support where it counts. o.c. investors and a lot of other states. the grace to the pennsylvania which, again, if their romney team could have put pennsylvania in place it would have been the key to a lot of other things. but the problem for them now is that pennsylvania is looking very difficult for them. obama is barely running in eight or nine or ten. average margin. it's just not happening. again, it comes back to what appeared to be the big coke, that they could drive up the white working-class margins in that state. 2008, a 15-point of vantage for john mccain, but the polls coming out of pennsylvania again and again show is not doing any better than-15. so basically the state is looking very similar
support senator mccain and his philosophy that the best way to do this is not to strip the industry to the government or the government to decide it a mandate what technologies are. one thing is for short of the government especially the congress tends to be much slower in the space than the private industry and if they are passing what is antiquated and throwing that out into the private market, it is useless. it can be a problem rather than a solution. espinel representative mary bono back as the chair of the trade subcommittee of the energy and commerce committee. republican from california. when it comes to children, is that a different -- do you view privacy legislation and any type of tactical legislation differently or not? >> we all do, of course. we agree or children need to be protected different the. the problem is, for a simple, like facebook, take facebook as an example. when we talk about trying to regulate differently for children, we have to recognize they are given tools to participate as older children or allows adults so we prevent a problem that is already being
that point* where they are retiring although it did not stop john mccain. how women politically age there was a gap between that generation and a new group coming up. also and nikki haley. she has managed south carolina barry well. the advantage of ethnicity bringing diversity to the republican party one could argue it needs diversity. >> we all looked at one another when bill asked the question. the pipeline is a little thin. susanna marty thence the governor of the mexico that we tend to reelect more governors and members of congress i think that is the pipeline very articulate -- particulate but give her six years and has potential. and elizabeth warren sheet is is elected there are a couple. we just need to get more women elected. research that has been done that says to make any kind of difference you need 25%. part of the culture comes as competition more women have the opportunity. because the women we profile in the book who were still in congress are not running again. the women are giving up hour don't see themselves to compromise. >> for various reasons with nrg being sea
. if you look at the debates in 2008 between john mccain and brought obama, with mccain aesop is hobbled war, speaking about a war, no one was talking about it anymore. spoke in the language of the u.s. senate. it is very compliced in a complicated way. then you have this tall and confident man seemed to speak directly and connect with people. and now americans have a choice between those two people. and now we are seeing very much reduced efforts in the office. he has lost the ability to lead if he ever had it. and we have a tendency sometimes in america to took more people before they are ready. and then to make them once they are there, but ultimately, a kind of ruthlessness in regards to their character as well. i think this is going to be a very momentous year and i think this is going to be a year in which next year will be very difficult. and we really need to examine the entitlement state and the nature of the american political level. while we may be war abroad, we are changing things abroad. i think the world is going to look very different. warriors from now than it does toda
because you always want to look for the negative. >> senator mccain, it's become more political suicide. i'm trying up the district line so everyone agrees the only way you can get is to not be pure enough, nonliberal, not conservatives. the challenges facing their last election, a challenge from the raid. it does affect how you can behave in the senate to some degree. and we have seen that with both parties. so it seems to be getting worse and harder other than people making it easier. >> let me just make two points. one is let's not forget that 2009 and 2010, the democrats had majorities in both houses of congress. they were vetoproof purity of that stimulus package, obama cared, dodd-frank, the institution of the united states are too big -- are not too big to fail. so they had two years and they had majority for two years and they ran things through with all due respect. we were never consulted about obama cared. we were never consulted about the stimulus. we were never consulted about dodd-frank. we all have to work together between 2009 and 2010. amendment 2010 elections were rejecte
that john mccain could not win the presidency. a great american but allows a republican and a terrible senator. and i was sadly correct. not only was he a terrible candid in the middle of the crisis, probably even the best gadgets could not have survived. a financial crisis with an incumbent president that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic house important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak to the manhattan crowd, the your crowd. how many of you describe to the new yorker? i
signed the mccain-feingold law or in just two years earlier, or more than two as i think, for years earlier the supreme court has affirmed the constitutionality of the mccain-feingold law. but in a story i tell at greater length in trenton, the conservative majority converted a relatively minor dispute over an obscure film put out by a nonprofit corporation into a complete rewriting of our campaign finance laws, based on the dual metaphors that corporations are people, and money is speech. and those two ideas are at the heart of citizens united, and they are the story -- and that decision is very much the story of the 2012 presidential and perhaps even more importantly, lower about race -- lower ballot raise. that brings us to the health care case you're now, there were some so-called experts and pundits who watched the oral argument of that case and said well, it's quite clear that the law is going to be overturned because of the questions. and in my defense -- [laughter] i would just like to say, you know, whatever, okay? [laughter] it was basic cable, all right? you don't pay ext
. the key state of virginia, among white working-class voters -- mccain carried this one in 2008. thirty-one or 32 points as they came back in 2008. to add to that, college graduate groups, obama lost by about 11 points in 2008 and he is basically about even among white college graduate voters in general. that makes it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take this state. colorado has been a state that has been very close. obama has a three or four-point lead. quite a bit of demographic change. minority eligible voters down by three percentage points. the white working-class voters. they have gone down by three percentage points. again, it doesn't appear that romney 2008 among white college graduates, he is not making nearly enough progress. if you break it down geographically, it looks very similar to the data in 2008. finally, the poster child -- obama is running ahead, not merely as far as he did in 2,082,008. that is a very quick maybe it is time for me to step back and catch my breath and say why is this? what is going on? so the health care reform act and
of the white working-class would be the best group for ronny to make progress and mccain carried by 17 points in 2008. look at a breakout from the poles provided and we are not seeing any progress among these voters. we are not seeing a noticeably bigger margin among white working-class voters for the gop candidate. is not happening and that is being translated as a similar margin placed like the i 4 corridor in the center of the state where tampa and orlando are and the miami metro area. .. we see college graduate group that obama lost by about 11 points in 2008. facing the most polls he's physically about even. i think that makes it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take the state. colorado has been fairly close so again obama mabey looks like a fairy or four-point lead on average read a lot of demographic change. you can see the minority eligible voters have gone up by three percentage points and working-class voters in 2008 have gone down by three percentage points. again it doesn't appear that romney is able to turn the demographics tie in his favor. he's not
assumptions. it means to be competitive in this race mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class and go up to 36 points. it doesn't change among minorities despite shifts eligible voters are seeing. if this gets realized minority vote share goes up a couple points from 26% in 2008 to 28% in 2012 and again the minority support stays the same it means mitt romney would have to get a 40 point margin of white working-class voters to win the election and popular vote. let's take a look at where we are based on a recent poll that came out and set the gold standard at the pew research center fold off and they do it right and have a 3,000 persons sampled. it is reliable and they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks. this shows among likely voters that obama is leading by eight points. if you look at averages in the national polls is a bit high relative to the average which is 4 points. if you look at polls that do it right and call cellphones and not just robot called their up by five points. this is the distance of the averages and
on moving the beyond partisan labels with the group calls post-partisanship including senator john mccain, former senator tom daschle and former governor bill richardson, charlie crist and tom ridge. [applause] >> we all breathe the same error. ladies and gentlemen, please welcome the chairman of the institute and the holder of the governor down major professor of state and global policy of the u.s. see governor arnold schwarzenegger. [applause] >> thank very much for the fantastic introduction. it's exactly the way i wrote. [laughter] thank you very much for your partnership. one thing i want to correct is that i did not win miss universe bikinis, waxing, all of those things, i did not win that competition. no, it's miss universe. anyway i want to say i am about being in partnership with usc and from the beginning to the strong in his creativity and vision. his extraordinary vision and commitment to usc and to the shore is a maker institute is unmatched. to be honest with you it is the only one that speaks the accent. it's the big advantage we have so looking for to appearing together ov
started was in 2008 and then senator obama and senator mccain came. when the president took office in a very busy time, he would still come here every year, and i think it is in no small measure because he basically started his life as an ngo. [applause] that is what he was. as a community organizer. and then he picked the secretary of state who was a walking ngo. [laughter] [applause] so i'm very grateful that he made time to join us here today to give a very important speech at the united nations earlier about all the things going on in the world and i am particularly appreciative of what he came here to speak about today so mr. president the podium is yours and thanks for coming, again. [applause] >> thank you. thank you so much. thank you. [applause] thank you very much. thank you, guys. thank you. appreciate it. everybody have a seat. well good afternoon everybody. and president clinton thank you for your very kind introduction of the last -- i must admit i really did like the speech a few weeks weeks ago a little bit better. [laughter] afterward somebody tweeted that, somebod
for john mccain. and that's the way democracy works. and i sat on election night, i said to the people who didn't vote for me, especially, i said i may not have won your vote, but i heard your voice. i need your help, and i'm going to fight for you, too. [cheers] [applause] i'm going to work on your behalf, too. [cheers] [applause] because i'm not interested in creating democratic jobs or republican jobs. i'm interested in creating american jobs. .. that we all share. those are values that belong to all of us. and now we have to reclaim them. if you have willing to work hard, harder than you did four years ago. if you are willing to knock on doors and make phone calls. we reclaim the values. we can rally around a new economic patriotism. we can rebuild this economy. we can strengthen the middle cladle. we with keep moving forward. we're not going backwards. we're not as divided as our politics suggest. i still believe we have more common than anybody understand. i believe in you and i ask you to keep on believing in me. [cheering and applause] i'm asking for your vote. i'm asking you to st
and the position of folks like lindsey graham or john mccain than there is between romney and obama. both romney and obama believe in supporting the opposition. the administration has provided nonlethal and humanitarian assistance, it's also worked with our allies who are providing all sorts of support to the opposition which, by the way, is what mitt romney said he would do in working with countries like qatar, turkey and saudi arabia and other ways. but i think this administration has also recognized that the most important thing we can do is try to create a unified political opposition so that when the assad regime fall, we'll have as smooth a transition as possible. rushing in with military options without a clear exit strategy which, by the way, mitt romney said on "60 minutes" would be the way he would think about military affairs, the president understands we have to be cautious about it. because there are many ways in which we could make the situation worse rather than better, and our first obligation is to try and get the political and diplomatic context right so you can have as smooth
Search Results 0 to 14 of about 15